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The Dutch Referendum and the Future of Europe
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canada goose outlet in uk But this week, the Dutch held a referendum on a trade agreement with Ukraine that has already been approved by the Dutch parliament and by all the other members of the EU. Indeed, the agreement has already been partially in effect for much of 2015. The organizers of the referendum, only the second one in modern Dutch history, don’t actually care much about Ukraine. They simply wanted a way to rally Dutch public opinion against the EU. The association agreement, because of its European connection, served as a nice fat target. canada goose outlet in uk
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canada goose outlet sale But events this week may nevertheless determine the Canada Goose online future of Ukraine, the trajectory of the EU, and whether armed conflict will return to Eastern Europe. canada goose outlet sale
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canada goose jacket outlet toronto One major reason for the economic tailspin is the loss of the Russian market. Gone the cheap Russian energy flowing to Ukraine; gone the aviation exports going the other way to Russia. According to Ukrainian government statistics, Ukrainian exports to Russia dropped by a third in 2014. In the first half of 2015, trade fell by another 59.4 percent. The same sources indicate that Ukraine has now become, basically, an exporter of raw materials: corn, iron, sunflower oil. That’s not exactly a recipe for rapid economic growth. canada goose jacket outlet toronto
canada goose outlet website legit The association agreement with the EU the same association agreement proposed in 2014 that sparked the Euromaidan protests might ordinarily be a lifesaver for Ukraine. As Russia steps away, the EU steps in. And boy, what a economic plum the EU is! Through this agreement, Ukraine gains preferential access to a market of 500 million customers. canada goose outlet website legit
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canada goose outlet new york city You’d think, perhaps, that the Dutch pored over all of these statistics to determine whether or not to support the association agreement. But the Dutch referendum, as I said, was not about Ukraine. canada goose outlet new york city
canada goose outlet black friday The opponents of the association agreement an odd combination of Euroskeptics, right wing populists like Geert Wilders, the left wing Socialist Party, and even an animal rights group made any number of absurd objections to the agreement: that it will cause Ukrainian workers to flood the EU (they won’t), that fascists are in control of Ukraine (they aren’t), or that the agreement is the first step for Ukraine to join the EU (in another 50 years, if the Ukrainians are lucky and the EU still exists). canada goose outlet black friday
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canada goose outlet london Sure, Putin is a bully, but the referendum was not about Russia. Canada Goose Online It was not about pulling Ukraine apart. It was about following through on a commitment that the EU made in the aftermath of the changes that took place in Ukraine in 2014. canada goose outlet london
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canada goose outlet store uk Dutch canada goose clearance rejection of the agreement could significantly buoy the hopes of Euroskeptics in the UK and elsewhere in the EU. And it would be yet another misfortune for Ukraine to suffer in a year of hard knocks. canada goose outlet store uk
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canada goose outlet vancouver Poroshenko, up until the Panama Gate scandal broke, was actually one of the more popular government figures. Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk and the parliament as a whole have approval ratings in the very low teens. A pervasive stink of corruption hangs over the country. cheap canada goose uk Even after the Ukrainian government finally dismissed the notoriously unscrupulous prosecutor general, Viktor Shokin, The New York Times lambasted the leadership’s cronyism: canada goose outlet vancouver
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canada goose outlet online uk Given that the economy has canada goose coats bottomed out, the political system is fragile, and corruption is widespread, the situation in the Donbass would seem to be the least of Kiev’s worries at the moment. After all, the situation in eastern Ukraine is relatively quiet, emphasis on “relatively.” Ceasefire violations canada goose continue sporadically, according to the Organization of Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), and there have been casualties. Elections have not yet taken place in the Donbass region, though Poroshenko insists that more of an armed OSCE presence is necessary before any such election can proceed. But at least all is mostly quiet on the eastern front. canada goose outlet online uk
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